by Bashmachkin Mon Mar 10, 2008 1:17 pm
Newcastle's remaining games:
Birmingham (a)
Fulham (h)
Tottenham (a)
Reading (h)
Portsmouth (a)
Sunderland (h)
West Ham (a)
Chelsea (h)
Everton (a)
The big three games are the home games against Fulham, Reading and Sunderland, where we should be looking for at least seven points (we should really be getting nine, but our form is awful and a derby game is always tricky). I think we can get something at least at Birmingham, and Portsmouth and West Ham are both a bit inconsistent - there are opportunities for points. We really need Martins in our first eleven, but after the Liverpool game, I can't see him not playing, and I think he, along with another two or three players, provides us with enough quality to stay up. I do think we will pick up a win in one of our next two games, and we can go from there, whilst there are teams about us poorer than us, who have a tougher run in.
Looking at the other fixtures, Wigan have a similar set of games to Newcastle, with three home games against the teams around them; Birmingham and Reading have an indifferent run of games; Bolton's fixtures look tough; and I think Sunderland and Middlesbrough have a more difficult run in than we have.
Fulham, though they do have a number of games against fellow relegation candidates, are probably too far away already, not good enough to make up the gap. I'd put Sunderland and Bolton as my two favourites to join them and Derby.
Out of these two, it's difficult to say who I want to go down. I don't like, respect or rate Keane, and so it would be fun to see his team drop - on the other hand, I think Sunderland have been better to watch than Bolton this season, and I'm a Newcastle fan who likes the rivalry between the clubs, who appreciates derby matches. I don't care one way or the other about Bolton.