UEFA Champions League Quarter-Final: Draw preview and review

ottOld Shatterhand wrote:sorry, blut

but please NO Liverpool or Chelsea for Bayern

I would be bored to death

The overall score of our last meeting was 6-5. Hardly a bore fest

I think the poll shows that it is very very close, and anyone's game.

My dream ties:

Bayern V Man Utd
Chelsea V Milan
Liverpool V Roma
Valencia V PSV

Tweedle wrote:My dream ties:

Bayern V Man Utd
Chelsea V Milan
Liverpool V Roma
Valencia V PSV

I agree with that.

I think that two EPL clubs will draw each other, the chances are high at least. If it will be Liverpool vs. United again, we can basically close the board for a couple of months though.

Don't give a fuck about the draw, just hope Roma & Valencia will do well, don't like any of the other clubs.

blutgraetsche wrote:I think that two EPL clubs will draw each other, the chances are high at least. If it will be Liverpool vs. United again, we can basically close the board for a couple of months though.

O'Shea will score a 91st minute goal .. away goal, to win the tie.

blutgraetsche wrote:I think that two EPL clubs will draw each other, the chances are high at least. If it will be Liverpool vs. United again, we can basically close the board for a couple of months though.

From an Englishman's perspective, two of the EPL teams drawing each other would be bad.

Interesting that the 'supposedly' strongest league in the world olny has one team left in the comp....

^^ What's that supposed to mean?

Barca have been comparatively poor this season, as have Madrid. That's plain to see. Nonetheless, they were edged out in what were expected to be tough games. No shame in losing to Bayern or Pool. Sevilla, I imagine are possibly the most in form-consistent Spanish side this season, yet they're not even in the comp. La Liga/EPL/Serie A are all pretty much on a par.

Tweedle wrote:

blutgraetsche wrote:I think that two EPL clubs will draw each other, the chances are high at least. If it will be Liverpool vs. United again, we can basically close the board for a couple of months though.

From an Englishman's perspective, two of the EPL teams drawing each other would be bad.

Interesting that the 'supposedly' strongest league in the world olny has one team left in the comp....

That was because of the playoff system and because Ajax was pants.

If AZ would have gotten their rightful place we would have had 2 teams left !

Does anyone know the exact percent chance that there will be an all EPL quarter final, it seems inevitable really.

The chance to draw an English team is exactly 2/7 (~29%) for a EPL side, and 3/7 (~43%) for the others. Easy.

3 EPL teams 5 others: n=8

1 EPL team can only face one other, so maximum one EPL matchup, thus --->
2/7=28.6%

That's for just one random EPL matchup, any of Liv-Man, Liv-Che, Man-Che.
For one in particular its a bit different.

Then its 1/8 x 1/7 = 1/56 = 1.79%
Coincidentally also the odds of predicting one particular matchup.

DD wrote:3 EPL teams 5 others: n=8

1 EPL team can only face one other, so maximum one EPL matchup, thus --->
2/7=28.6%

That's for just one random EPL matchup, any of Liv-Man, Liv-Che, Man-Che.
For one in particular its a bit different.

Then its 1/8 x 1/7 = 1/56 = 1.79%
Coincidentally also the odds of predicting one particular matchup.

I'm thinking of a different number (don't know if I'm right though).

The chance of no English encounter is :

The first English side has to draw against 7 teams, 2 of those are English so it's 5/7 chance of a non-English encounter.

The second English side now has to draw against 5 team, 1 of those is English so it's a 4/5 chance of a non-English encounter.

The third English side now automatically draws a none-English side.

So the chance of a non-English-English encounter is (5/7) * (4/5) = 20/35

The chance of an English - English encounter therefore is 1 - (20/35) = 15/35 =~ 43 %

Axeslammer wrote:

DD wrote:3 EPL teams 5 others: n=8

1 EPL team can only face one other, so maximum one EPL matchup, thus --->
2/7=28.6%

That's for just one random EPL matchup, any of Liv-Man, Liv-Che, Man-Che.
For one in particular its a bit different.

Then its 1/8 x 1/7 = 1/56 = 1.79%
Coincidentally also the odds of predicting one particular matchup.

I'm thinking of a different number (don't know if I'm right though).

The chance of no English encounter is :

The first English side has to draw against 7 teams, 2 of those are English so it's 5/7 chance of a non-English encounter.

The second English side now has to draw against 5 team, 1 of those is English so it's a 4/5 chance of a non-English encounter.

The third English side now automatically draws a none-English side.

So the chance of a non-English-English encounter is (5/7) * (4/5) = 20/35

The chance of an English - English encounter therefore is 1 - (20/35) = 15/35 =~ 43 %

You're right
Horrible amateur mistake of mine (considered my knowledge of statistics).

And also the chance any team facing each other (as the first team to be selected, or just chosen beforehand) isn't 1,79%, but plain 14,3%

I knew something wasn't right.

I want PSV or Milan, wouldn't like to draw anyone else in particular but I think we could beat anyone, I'd rather get United than Chelsea, that's for sure

Roma would be the best draw luis, they're like a worse version of Barca in attack, though with a much better defence

Roma = surprise package this season

Mark my words

Luis wrote:
Mark my words

Done.

I look forward to taking the piss out of them when they're proven to be bollocks.

Seems that in beating Lyon, Roma have inherited the sickening over-hyping.

Obispo wrote:

Seems that in beating Barcelona, Liverpool have inherited the sickening over-hyping.

Parks lives wrote:

Obispo wrote:

Seems that in diving and cheating their way to the league - which they'll still cock up before the end of the season - Ronaldo FC - sorry - Manchester United have inherited the sickening over-hyping that England had prior to the World Cup.

I > You.

Obispo wrote:

Parks lives wrote:

Obispo wrote:

Seems that in diving and cheating their way to the league - which they'll still cock up before the end of the season - Ronaldo FC - sorry - Manchester United have inherited the sickening over-hyping that England had prior to the World Cup.

I > You.

My father >>> Your father

PSV v Chelsea

If Koeman beats them I'll consider him a curse on the nation.

No over-hype, Lyon took all of that i'm afraid, I generally Belive Roma will go maybe to the final, they are a team I fear this year

In order from who i least want to get to most:

1. Chelsea
2. Roma
3. United
4. Bayern
5. Valenica
6. Milan
7. PSV

Luis wrote:In order from who i least want to get to most:

1. Liverpool
2. Roma
3. United
4. Bayern
5. Valenica
6. Milan
7. PSV
8. Chelsea

Target Man wrote:

Luis wrote:In order from who i least want to get to most:

1. Liverpool
2. Roma
3. United
4. Bayern
5. Valenica
6. Milan
7. PSV
8. Chelsea

Yup..Luis wants to play his own team the most

As for Roma....people stop slagging them off because you dislike them...Totti=best player in the world...true story

@ Deano

Totti is no way the best player in the world, most arrogant maybe.

Rai Krol wrote:@ Deano

Totti is no way the best player in the world, most arrogant maybe.

Watch him....he can single handedly rip a team to pieces...on form he is unstoppable....

Don't be jealous Rai

Lucas Neill wrote:

Rai Krol wrote:@ Deano

Totti is no way the best player in the world, most arrogant maybe.

Watch him....he can single handedly rip a team to pieces...on form he is unstoppable....

Don't be jealous Rai

Jealous, get out of town.

I have seem him play and he is a class leader and player .. but I'm sorry, he needs to be more modest (this is my opinion)