Effenberg wrote: bluenine wrote: Effenberg wrote: Alive and Kicking wrote:How far is Germany from France and Russia? Russian teams are doing well, they are getting dangerous.
It seems nobody understands how the 5-year ranking works.
Bar a complete breakdown by all German teams, Germany will be 3rd after this season.
They are miles ahead of France, the Ukraine and Russia. And so is Italy, of course.
This is what you have to look at:
http://www.xs4all.nl/~kassiesa/bert/uefa/data/method4/crank2011.html
As I mentioned above, Germany are still 3.3 points short of Italy. Thats the number you have to gain over Italy from now to the end of the season. Its possible, but not as easy as you seem to think.
Germany will have a better shot at it next season, when Italy lose another 5 points as compared to Germany in the 5 year ranking.
No. Italy have to gain more because they're losing a crapload more points than Germany after this season. Hence, the link I provided. You might want to try clicking on it.
Same goes for the dude who called me an arrogant prick, yet claimed he understood the system, but clearly doesn't.
Forza got it.
I am sorry dude, but you got it wrong. UEFA country allocations for the 2010-11 season are based on UEFA Country ranking
2009, not UEFA Country Ranking
2011. You are two years ahead in your calculations. Even for club seedings in the CL 2010-11, the Team Ranking of 2010 will be used, not Team Ranking of 2011.
It is hence always the sum of 5 year coefficients that are used to calculate rankings, NEVER 4 years as you assume. Its a bit complicated. Let me explain with examples:
For this season (2009-10) the
2008 UEFA country rankings were used, which were
: http://www.xs4all.nl/~kassiesa/bert/uefa/data/method3/crank2008.html
For next seasons (2010-11) allocation of CL/Europa berths, the
2009 ranking will be used (already decided):
http://www.xs4all.nl/~kassiesa/bert/uefa/data/method4/crank2009.html
For 2011-12 season, it will be the
2010 ranking (by which time the final points for 2009-10 season will already be decided and added):
http://www.xs4all.nl/~kassiesa/bert/uefa/data/method4/crank2010.html
The ranking that you are talking about will be used for the
2012-13 season and more importantly it will include the final coefficients for 2010-11 season, and will NOT be based on 4 seasons coefficients (as you seem to assume).
So the earliest Germany can hope for 4 CL berths is 2011-12 season, and for that they need to get 3.3 points more than Italy in the remainder of THIS season, as things stand.
Hope that clarifies. Even in the link you posted, this information is clearly mentioned:
http://kassiesa.net/uefabackup/seedcl2009.html